2015 Hugo Awards

I'm proud of my fellow Hugo voters for their decisive rejection of bigotry tonight.

Also, although I didn't care for Three Body Problem, it was an excellent heart-warming acceptance speech, very much the best of what the Hugos can be.

Numbers tomorrow. :)

2015 Hugo Awards - fun facts from the detailed results

The PDF is here.

Tobias Buckell put together the likely Puppy-free ballot here.

Novels:
The most interesting thing to me here is the presence of The Martian on the longlist. I *seriously* thought this wasn't eligible. Also interesting: the total absence of The Magician's Land. Really, Hugo nominators? I mean, I didn't nom it, but it was a pretty major release for the year, and really excellent if you can read with slightly less feminist eyes than I could.

Novellas:
I'm sad that I didn't get that Nancy Kress novella in the packet; I suppose I could see if the library has it, or ::gasp:: actually buy it. I thought Swirsky's "Grand Jete" was pretty great, pleased to see it in the contenders.

Novelette:
I came very close to nominating "Litany of Earth", although in the end I did not, but I would have very happily voted for it.

Short Stories:
Man, look at that ballot. I guess Ursula Vernon got a Nebula at least.

Graphic:
Sex Criminals got onto the ballot with 60 noms, Nimona was 11th with 28. This is a category where your nomination makes a difference!

Dramatic Short:
Conventional wisdom is that there's more overlap between Puppies and others in the Dramatic categories - I myself voted for the Flash pilot even though it had been on the slate. So it's a little hard to say what a Puppy-free ballot in this category might have looked like. *However*, we know the top three got Puppy nominations, and "Legend of Korra: the Last Stand" came in 8th. Was there a chance? Maybe, maybe not, I'm pleased it came so close.

Pro Artist:
Galen Dara would have made the ballot without the Puppies, sigh.

Fan Artist:
Elizabeth Leggett squeaked onto the ballot with 23 nominations and ran away with the category, somewhat similar to Sarah Webb last year iIrc. Two of my nominees each got 16 nominations. Another category where your nomination has a lot of power.

2015 Hugo Awards - numbers

What do we know, what do we think we know? I'm sure other people will be doing this too but I like to take a crack at it.

5950 total voters. Looking at the novellas (5337 voters), 3495 for No Award, 1842 splitting the nominees, with one of the Wright stories and the two non-Wright stories roughly evenly matched around 500-550, and the other two Wright stories majorly trailing in the 100-150 range.

So one interesting thing here is that even if the Puppies had put out an official *order* for their slate, and gotten those 1842 votes backing one candidate, they still would have been crushed by the No Award voters. We see that again in Short Story, where there are 3053 No Award voters and 2214 for all five nominees.

It's still true but less pronounced looking at the Editor categories, 2672 No vs 2178 Anyone for the Short and 2496 No vs 2411 Anyone for the Long. Also of interest here, 586 first place votes for VD in the Short, 166 first place votes for him in the Long, he eventually runs-off to 5th place in the Short and last place in the Long. Still an unbelievable embarrassment to the field that he was on our ballot, but on the other hand, that's 12% of the Short category and Deez Nuts is polling at 9% in the Republican Primary in North Carolina.

Chaos will think this is interesting: in the novelettes, "Day the World Turned Upside Down" and No Award were 1700 to 1732 in the first pass, and it took three eliminations for "Day" to pull ahead. Hugo voting people not wildly excited about this candidate. Wesley Chu, on the other hand, 2655 out of the gate against 529 No Award.

I'll probably link to more analysis as it happens.
ETA: Here's one initial analysis.