glassonion: (cube)
glassonion ([personal profile] glassonion) wrote in [personal profile] psocoptera 2015-08-23 02:31 pm (UTC)

Yeah, i noticed that already about the novelette category.

One note without having read a lot of other analysis - i think the number we can draw conclusions from (somewhat) is the ~3500 anti-slate voters. Maybe there's a bit fewer than that, but it seems like that's about how many people voted using something like the puppy-free ballot as a guide. I'd put substantially less confidence on the proposition that e.g. the 1842 people who voted for novellas other than no award are all puppy-slate voters. Some of them could come from the set of anti-slate voters who made themselves read everything and try to vote ignoring their politics. Some of them could come from the set of habitual voters who are oblivious to what's going on this year, a set which i think includes some people (maybe 500? I don't think it's at all a stretch to imagine 10% of Hugo voters who just like voting for the Hugos and are deliberately oblivious to anything happening other than "get your ballot and take your picks". But we'd have to compare to last year's vote numbers to get a real guess for this), and i wouldn't call them "puppy-slate voters" absent more information.

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